Thanks to Neil for pointing out this New York Times article.

Despite the economic downturn and fears of recession, major charities say their fund-raising has not fallen off.

“We’re doing fine,” said Christina Walker, director of development at the Cleveland Orchestra. “We haven’t seen any effect yet.”

In fact, some 64 percent of the organizations that have responded so far to the Association of Fundraising Professionals’ annual survey on fund-raising have reported bringing in more money in 2007 than the year before.

Some fund-raisers already see what could be signs of a downturn. Stephen R. Birrell, vice president for alumni relations and development at Williams College, said that the college’s annual fund-raising effort was doing well but that the number of donors was down somewhat.

“I hesitate to single this out,” Mr. Birrell said, “because I don’t know what to make of it.”

The reason for his uncertainty is that a plan that Williams adopted in 2003 to raise $400 million through a special campaign by the end of this year has so far exceeded the goal by more than $50 million, he said, and may have drawn donors away from the annual fund.

One donor to the special campaign, Paul Neely, said he would look at his seven-figure gift differently today, because the value of the stock he donated had since dropped by roughly a third.

“If I wanted to give the same dollar amount today, I would have to give more shares and then worry that they might go back up,” said Mr. Neely, a Williams trustee. “That’s the kind of calculation that I think people are turning over in their minds, which hasn’t noticeably impacted us yet but it may very well by the end of the year.”

Comments:

1) Kudos to Birrell and Neely for getting Williams into the Times in this context. The more people know about Williams, the better. But what is the backstory? I assume that Times reporter Stephanie Strom did not call them up randomly. One guess would be that Strom knows Neely via Neely’s former job as publisher of The Chattanooga Times. I had an interesting chat with Neely at the Road Scholars event a few weeks ago. There are few Ephs who know more about the behind-the-scenes discussions and debates that have shaped the College for the last 15 years. The Record ought to do a big interview/profile.

2) Are the number of donors down a meaningful amount? Not in the class of 1988! We are, I think, hitting a record this year. I think that the details will be made public soon. To the extent that he overall participation rate is down, I am pretty sure that it is not down a meaningul amount.

3) Even if it is down a non-trivial amount — and every percentage point matters for those US News rankings — it is highly unlikely that the capital campaign has anything to do with that. Or am I misinformed. Only very rich Ephs are approached to give directly to the capital campaign. We mere mortals contribute via the alumni fund. It is hard to tell a story whereby capital campaign giving plays a role in alumni fund participation. And note that the campaign has beenn going on for several years, so why would this year see an impact?

4) You can certainly tell a story whereby the current downturn is impacting big ticket gifts. But, lucky for Williams, we are at the end of the capital campaign. In fact, for Ephs, 2008-2010 is the perfect timing for a recession.

5) I wonder what stock Neely gave to the College. His distinguished career in the news business is not the sort of thing that generates significant wealth. Or am I underestimating how much publishers get paid? Maybe this is Times stock. That seven figure gift is probably connected to his generosity here. Alas, I am travelling for the next two weeks and don’t have Bloomberg access. Perhaps one of our finance readers could note Neely’s holdings in the comments. My guess is that this is family money. Hey, Dad! Where’s my trust fund?

6) My take is that Stephanie Strom knew what story she wanted to write before she even called Neely/Birrell. Then, she misunderstood what Birrell was saying and/or kept asking him questions until she got a quote that she liked. It seems highly unlikely that the capital campaign has any causal effect on participation rates in the annual alumni fund.

Corrections from our friends in the Alumni Office are welcome!