Sun 12 Oct 2008
The Economist on the financial bailout plan.
Assuming it comes into existence, there are still numerous risks surrounding the TARP. The first is that it does too much. At $700 billion, the amount allocated to it easily exceeds the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation’s (FDIC) estimate of roughly $500 billion of residential mortgages seriously delinquent in June, out of a total of $10.6 trillion, though that figure will rise. The Treasury has sought broad authority to buy not just mortgage securities but anything related to them, such as credit derivatives, and if necessary equity in companies weakened by their bad loans.
When the loans to AIG and Bear Stearns assets are added in, the gross public backing so far approaches 6% of GDP, well above the 3.7% of the savings-and-loan bail-out in the late 1980s and early 1990s (see chart 3). That would still be much less than the average cost of resolving banking crises around the world in the past three decades, which a study by Luc Laeven and Fabian Valencia, of the IMF, puts at 16%. One reason why bail-outs, especially in emerging markets, have been so costly is inadequate safeguards against abuse, says Gerard Caprio, an economist at Williams College. “There was a lot of outright looting going on.”
Indeed. One of the reasons that I was against the bailout was that it was too easily lootable. What prevents current Goldman Sachs hotshots from selling stuff worth 5 cents on the dollar to former Goldman Sachs hotshots (at the Treasury) for 50 cents? Nothing that I can see. Or is it only “looting” when Third Worlders do it?

October 12th, 2008 at 9:13 am
No matter what - for advantage humans will lie, cheat and steal.